Trump claimed House Democratic leader "Nancy Pelosi controls Danny O'Connor, whoever the hell that is". Heading into the vote, the Republican candidate in a long-held conservative district had a slim one-point lead over the Democrat contender.
O'Connor has wiped out most or all of Balderson's lead in opinion polls, and a Democratic win would set off alarm bells for Republicans already anxious by a series of strong performances in special elections by Democrats in the Trump era.
The district, split between suburban Columbus, Ohio, and rural areas, has been represented by a Republican since the early 1980s. Trump only won the district by 52 percent and he's now polling at 46 percent. But a poll released Monday by Monmouth University showed that Republican state Sen. A win for Democrats here on Tuesday would signal further danger for Republicans in the fall.
One of the primary season's true sideshows ended with a lopsided win - Rep. Ron Estes (R-Kan.), who won a 2017 special election in Kansas's 4th Congressional District, has defeated Ron M. Estes, who did not. So, as Republicans like Ohio Gov. John Kasich - a vocal critic of Trump - pointed out prior to Election Day, the sheer fact that the race is so close should strike fear in the hearts of GOP operatives.
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But it isn't entirely clear if Trump's support will ultimately help or hurt Balderson on Tuesday.
Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach says unifying the Republican party ahead of the November election would be the most important task for Gov. Jeff Colyer if he loses to Kobach in Tuesday's primary.
In the MI governor's race, progressive favorite Abdul El-Sayed, the 33-year-old former Detroit health official vying to become the nation's first Muslim governor, faces former state Senate Democratic leader Gretchen Whitmer, who is considered the favorite in the race.
And in Missouri's 1st District, Democratic Rep. William Lacy Clay faces a challenge from the left from Cori Bush, a nurse and activist who has campaigned with Ocasio-Cortez. Kobach was an immigration adviser to Trump's campaign in 2016 and vice chairman of Trump's commission to investigate voting fraud before the panel collapsed.