The 5 August forecast anticipates seven hurricanes overall for the season, up from five hurricanes predicted in the initial 4 April forecast.
Noaas Climate Prediction Centre said the likelihood of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season had grown to 45 per cent, from 30 per cent in its May forecast. They expected El Niño, a hurricane suppressant that creates wind shear over the tropical Atlantic Ocean, to cancel out conditions that have led to stronger hurricane activity since 1995.
"NOAA will continue to deliver the information that the public depends on before, during and after any storms throughout the hurricane season", said Neil Jacobs, Ph.D., acting NOAA administrator.
NOAA now predicts 10 to 17 named storms, five to nine hurricanes and two to four major hurricanes.
An average Atlantic hurricane season produces 12 named storms, including six hurricanes.
The NOAA issued a statement Thursday morning with a look ahead at the hurricane season, outlining the oceanic and atmospheric patterns, which now look favourable for above-normal activity because El Nino is now gone.
El Niño conditions, associated with lower hurricane activity in the Atlantic, had discouraged hurricane development until now.
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NOAA also announced the most-recent El Nino in the Pacific Ocean has ended and neutral conditions have returned.
If the final outcome is towards the lower ends of the ranges, the season will end up slightly below normal.
"That's not really a factor as far as a season outlook", he said.
"During July, the tropical Atlantic was moister than normal, while the Caribbean was drier than normal", the forecasters said.
Whether or not a hurricane actually makes landfall is primarily determined by short-term weather patterns - which can only be predicted within around a week of the storm potentially reaching a coastline.
Kim Zuill, a meteorologist at the Bermuda Weather Service, said the waters around the island have been warmer than usual for the time of the year something that can encourage storm growth.
Residents of coastal areas should remain prepared, regardless of how much activity is predicted.