The low is forecast to slowly intensify through and by Wednesday night or Thursday morning, we should have a tropical depression on our hands. The National Hurricane Center predicts there is an 80 percent chance of formation into a storm over the course of the next five days.
Residents along the Gulf Coast are keeping an eye on the weather as meteorologists have predicted that a tropical system entering the gulf this week could form into a tropical storm that could impact Southwest Louisiana over the weekend.
The weather system's maximum sustained winds were 30mph at 7pm BST (1pm CDT) - if they increase enough, the system will be called Tropical Storm Barry.
Forecasters expect a broad area of disturbed weather in the Gulf to become stronger this weekend when it threatens the region with torrential rain.
A forecast of landfall anywhere from Lake Charles to New Orleans has equal weight roughly 72 hours out this point.and even the Upper Texas Coast remains in play.
The waters in the Gulf of Mexico are warm enough to support further strengthening as they sit in the low 30s - well above the 26.5 C temperature needed to fuel a tropical system.
The system could track along the northern Gulf of Mexico this week and bring thunderstorms to several states along the Gulf Coast.
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Oil producers in the USA part of the Gulf of Mexico have begun evacuating employees from their platforms ahead of a possible storm that is for now a tropical depression, Reuters reports, adding the storm could develop by this evening or tomorrow. As much as 18 inches (46 centimetres) of rain could fall in isolated areas, forecasters said.
It's then expected to hit the Gulf Coast as a hurricane on Saturday, the National Hurricane Center said.
A lot of New Orleans was underwater this morning (and a lot of it still is). This could present an imminent possibility for disaster since the levees are only capable of protecting the city from surges up to 20 feet.
The National Weather Service said New Orleans is protected to a river level of 20 feet (6.1 meters), but it was forecast to rise above flood stage to 19 feet (5.8 meters) by Friday. Most offshore oil and gas rigs in the Gulf of Mexico are in the north-central and western portion of the basin. The rip current threat is a little lower, but it's always best to swim near a lifeguard.
While El Niño conditions may suppress the number of tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin somewhat this year, all it takes is for one or two hurricanes to strike populated areas and result in great risk to lives and property.
Tropical systems are occasional visitors to the U.S.in July: The most recent July hurricane to hit the continental USA was Hurricane Arthur in North Carolina in 2014, according to Colorado State University meteorologist Phil Klotzbach.