Forecasters say the system is expected to move slowly northwestward toward the northeastern coast of Mexico, and may become a tropical cyclone before it moves inland in a day or two.
If it does strengthen into a tropical storm, it will be named Barry.
But the bigger story is the potential rainfall for areas that could use it - and areas that could not.
Another strong dip in the jet stream will move out of the southwestern USA into the south-central states beginning tomorrow and act like a scoop, pulling moisture from the disturbance north across eastern Texas and over the areas already suffering from record flooding mid to late week.
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Given its proximity to land, it is unlikely it will develop into anything significant, but it is very likely to provide plenty of rainfall for a large portion of Texas Wednesday and Thursday.
By mid-week, southeast Louisiana and the Mississippi Coast could see up to three inches of rain, Stratton said.
A strong area of high pressure is blocking the cluster from moving northward but will shift east and allow some of that tropical moisture to head up the Northern Mexican coastline and into South Texas by Tuesday.
As for Alabama, 2-4 inches of rain will be possible over the next seven days, according to forecasters.